Gross felling is expected to increase in 2019
Harvesting is expected to increase this year, showing a forecast from the Swedish Forest Agency. If the forecast stands, it is the highest figure since 2007.The gross felling in 2019 is estimated to be 94 million forest cubic metres. It is slightly more than 2018 when the preliminary gross felling was less than 93.5 million cubic metres.
-Forecasts are difficult and factors can still be added that change the situation, but overall, our assessment is that 2019 will be another year with a very high harvest rate historically, says Katarina Ekberg, Swedish Forest Agency.
There are several sources that are the basis for the forecast and point to increased harvesting:
- So far this year, forest owners have notified 6 per cent larger areas for final felling than last year, suggesting that the interest of harvesting is great.
- According to the Swedish Forest Industries Federation, the production of sawn wood and pulp is expected to increase in 2019 compared to 2018.
- The stocks of roundwood and wood chips were more than 30 per cent larger in the first half of this year compared to last year.
- In the forecast, the Swedish forest agency has estimated that stocks at the end of the year will be slightly larger than at the end of 2018, which means an increased harvest level.
At the same time, imports of pulpwood in the first half of this year are larger than the same period the previous year, while exports are lower, reducing the harvest forecast somewhat.
Forecasts are always tainted by uncertainty as they are partly based on assumptions. Unexpected events can quickly change the prerequisites. The forecast for 2019 is further hampered by the damage caused by bark beetles. In addition, the harvest level for 2018 is still preliminary in that final data on foreign trade and the collection of firewood are not yet produced.
The survey is part of Official Statistics of Sweden.
All results are published in the statistical database.
Gross felling is stem volume, including what is left in the forest. Measured in cubic metre standing volume (stem volume over bark from stump to tip)
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